The Citadel
Southern · 3-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#79
−2.6 pts · likely #56–96
Strength of schedule
36.4
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
16.4
#64
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 53.4% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
53.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Dakota State | L 0-38 | +30.6 | −1.9 | 0.910 | 1 | −6.4 |
| 2 | at Samford | W 40-13 | −12.3 | +1.9 | 0.095 | 4 | +16.5 |
| 3 | at Gardner-Webb | L 13-23 | +3.4 | +1.9 | 0.401 | 2 | −4.7 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 0-38 | +13.6 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at East Tennessee State · p 0.532
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 7: vs Valdosta StateDII · W 38-14
- Wk 11: at Ole MissFBS · L 0-49