Montana
Big Sky · 9-0 vs FCS · 10-0 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 0.9% of the time
Power
#7
+16.7 pts · likely #4–19
Strength of schedule
37.4
#35 of 129
Strength of victory
37.4
#6
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 53.6% · Opp. opp. 58.2%
Remaining SOS
61.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota | W 24-23 | +19.5 | −2.0 | 0.719 | 1 | +18.0 |
| 4 | vs Indiana State | W 63-20 | +0.1 | −2.0 | 0.231 | 3 | +31.0 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 41-30 | +6.2 | −2.0 | 0.371 | 2 | +15.5 |
| 6 | at Idaho State | W 42-38 | +1.9 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Portland State · p 0.152
- Wk 13: vs Montana State · p 0.857
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota State · p 0.663
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.489
- Wk 17: at Montana State · p 0.910
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 42-17