Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#58
+1.2 pts · likely #38–83
Strength of schedule
54.6
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
48.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.610
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
42.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | W 41-17 | −0.3 | +2.0 | 0.311 | 2 | +23.7 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 17-35 | +15.8 | +2.0 | 0.725 | 1 | −0.2 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | W 32-24 | +13.1 | +2.0 | 0.661 | 1 | +20.8 |
| 6 | vs UC Davis | L 27-34 | +15.3 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Northern Arizona · p 0.557
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.290
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at UtahFBS · L 9-63
- Wk 3: vs Western OregonDII · W 56-7