San Diego
Pioneer · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#75
−2.2 pts · likely #54–95
Strength of schedule
29.5
#72 of 129
Strength of victory
24.6
#42
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
5.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | L 17-41 | +0.4 | −2.0 | 0.235 | 3 | −24.7 |
| 2 | vs Southern Utah | W 30-27 OT | +12.4 | −2.0 | 0.540 | 1 | +12.3 |
| 3 | at Montana State | L 7-41 | +26.4 | +2.0 | 0.906 | 1 | −5.3 |
| 4 | at Princeton | W 42-35 | +2.5 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Butler · p 0.109
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.009