St. Thomas (MN)
Pioneer · 6-3 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#43
+4.8 pts · likely #26–66
Strength of schedule
16.8
#122 of 129
Strength of victory
11.8
#82
Record SOS
0.426
Opp. 37.9% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
57.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
4-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against St. Thomas (MN). p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 35-13 | −0.2 | −2.0 | 0.224 | 3 | +18.2 |
| 2 | at Idaho | L 30-37 | +5.9 | +2.0 | 0.472 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 5 | at San Diego | L 27-30 | −3.1 | +2.0 | 0.246 | 3 | −3.3 |
| 6 | vs Butler | L 14-21 OT | −9.1 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Presbyterian · p 0.198
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.950
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Northern MichiganDII · W 20-7