Idaho
Big Sky · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#34
+6.5 pts · likely #21–58
Strength of schedule
38.2
#31 of 129
Strength of victory
30.5
#19
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
45.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 37-30 | +5.3 | −2.0 | 0.350 | 2 | +9.9 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | W 20-6 | −3.3 | −2.0 | 0.166 | 3 | +7.8 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 30-41 | +17.5 | +2.0 | 0.763 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 7 | vs Northern Colorado | L 33-49 | −5.9 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Sacramento State · p 0.612
- Wk 13: vs Idaho State · p 0.294
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 10-13
- Wk 4: at San José StateFBS · L 28-31