Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#26
+9.5 pts · likely #13–45
Strength of schedule
42.3
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
32.3
#14
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 48.5% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
28.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Utah Tech | W 38-31 | −4.3 | −2.0 | 0.150 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 52-49 | +11.6 | +2.0 | 0.623 | 1 | +16.1 |
| 4 | vs Incarnate Word | W 31-23 | +6.0 | −2.0 | 0.368 | 2 | +11.7 |
| 5 | at Portland State | W 31-17 | −8.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Cal Poly · p 0.292
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.283
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 19-38