Incarnate Word
Southland · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#40
+5.6 pts · likely #24–61
Strength of schedule
37.2
#37 of 129
Strength of victory
35.6
#9
Record SOS
0.543
Opp. 54.6% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
35.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −1.7 | +2.0 | 0.277 | 2 | −11.7 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +3.4 | −2.0 | 0.303 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 23-31 | +8.8 | +2.0 | 0.549 | 1 | +3.4 |
| 5 | vs Abilene Christian | W 38-7 | +17.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.614
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.085
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48