Northwestern State
Southland · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-9 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−21.2 pts · likely #119–128
Strength of schedule
30.0
#69 of 129
Strength of victory
11.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 44.8%
Remaining SOS
48.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Alcorn State | W 20-10 | −6.5 | −2.0 | 0.117 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 4 | at Prairie View A&M | L 24-27 | +1.3 | +2.0 | 0.349 | 2 | −1.3 |
| 6 | vs East Texas A&M | L 10-40 | −5.3 | −2.0 | 0.134 | 3 | −36.3 |
| 7 | at Houston Christian | L 17-20 | −12.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Nicholls State · p 0.325
- Wk 13: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.637
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 0-66
- Wk 3: at CincinnatiFBS · L 0-70