Butler
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#97
−6.8 pts · likely #72–111
Strength of schedule
22.5
#100 of 129
Strength of victory
25.7
#34
Record SOS
0.492
Opp. 51.3% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
13.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-38 | −1.9 | +2.0 | 0.273 | 2 | −22.5 |
| 4 | at Weber State | L 24-38 | −2.3 | +2.0 | 0.265 | 2 | −13.6 |
| 5 | vs Marist | W 31-28 | −12.4 | −2.0 | 0.056 | 4 | −11.8 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 21-14 OT | +6.7 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at San Diego · p 0.263
- Wk 13: vs Valparaiso · p 0.008
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Truman StateDII · W 37-27
- Wk 3: at HanoverDIII · W 16-7