Weber State
Big Sky · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#71
−1.5 pts · likely #52–92
Strength of schedule
45.1
#16 of 129
Strength of victory
20.5
#51
Record SOS
0.562
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
42.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at McNeese | W 42-41 | +0.1 | +2.0 | 0.320 | 2 | +2.8 |
| 4 | vs Butler | W 38-24 | −6.3 | −2.0 | 0.120 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 5 | at UC Davis | L 12-34 | +14.5 | +2.0 | 0.694 | 1 | −5.5 |
| 7 | vs Sacramento State | L 27-55 | +9.3 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Idaho State · p 0.394
- Wk 13: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.449
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at James MadisonFBS · L 10-45
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-48