Morehead State
Pioneer · 4-5 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−17.5 pts · likely #113–126
Strength of schedule
19.1
#113 of 129
Strength of victory
5.4
#95
Record SOS
0.438
Opp. 41.6% · Opp. opp. 48.0%
Remaining SOS
35.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 13-41 | +11.2 | +2.0 | 0.614 | 1 | −14.4 |
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 7-56 | +7.1 | +2.0 | 0.502 | 1 | −25.9 |
| 5 | at Presbyterian | L 0-41 | −3.4 | +2.0 | 0.241 | 3 | −36.0 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | L 28-35 | −5.0 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Drake · p 0.351
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs AllenDII · W 38-31
- Wk 4: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 45-28