Austin Peay
UAC · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#31
+7.1 pts · likely #19–55
Strength of schedule
32.5
#57 of 129
Strength of victory
20.8
#50
Record SOS
0.473
Opp. 45.1% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
44.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 56-7 | −17.5 | −2.0 | 0.026 | 4 | +15.5 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | L 31-45 | +11.9 | +2.0 | 0.632 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 5 | vs Utah Tech | W 42-10 | −1.8 | −2.0 | 0.194 | 3 | +25.8 |
| 6 | vs West Georgia | W 44-30 | +6.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Samford · p 0.038
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.850
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Middle TennesseeFBS · W 34-14
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 6-28