Central Arkansas
UAC · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#56
+1.3 pts · likely #37–80
Strength of schedule
39.9
#26 of 129
Strength of victory
16.5
#65
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 52.7% · Opp. opp. 46.5%
Remaining SOS
57.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-17 | −16.1 | −2.0 | 0.033 | 4 | +6.2 |
| 3 | vs Tarleton State | L 10-56 | +20.6 | −2.0 | 0.743 | 1 | −15.6 |
| 4 | at Sacramento State | L 16-45 | +9.2 | +2.0 | 0.561 | 1 | −16.2 |
| 5 | at Lamar | L 32-35 | +7.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.606
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.548
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 6-61