Tarleton State
UAC · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#3
+21.3 pts · likely #2–10
Strength of schedule
33.4
#48 of 129
Strength of victory
29.8
#24
Record SOS
0.471
Opp. 44.3% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
45.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Portland State | W 42-0 | −7.3 | +2.0 | 0.166 | 3 | +29.0 |
| 2 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-3 | −21.5 | −2.0 | 0.014 | 4 | +12.7 |
| 3 | at Central Arkansas | W 56-10 | +2.9 | +2.0 | 0.392 | 2 | +38.2 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | W 52-24 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs North Alabama · p 0.161
- Wk 13: vs Austin Peay · p 0.418
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota · p 0.716
- Wk 17: vs Villanova · p 0.539
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArmyFBS · W 30-27