North Dakota
MVFC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 28% of the time
Power
#5
+18.9 pts · likely #3–13
Strength of schedule
46.3
#13 of 129
Strength of victory
32.1
#15
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 54.8% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
58.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 50-20 | −8.1 | −2.0 | 0.098 | 4 | +20.2 |
| 3 | at Montana | L 23-24 | +17.2 | +2.0 | 0.757 | 1 | +17.6 |
| 4 | vs Valparaiso | W 58-7 | −26.0 | −2.0 | 0.006 | 4 | +8.6 |
| 6 | at Northern Iowa | W 35-7 | +0.9 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Murray State · p 0.113
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.663
- Wk 14: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.702
- Wk 15: at Tarleton State · p 0.850
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 35-38