Southern Illinois
MVFC · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 43% of the time
Power
#22
+11.2 pts · likely #10–38
Strength of schedule
46.4
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
29.0
#26
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
54.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at UT Martin | W 37-10 | +8.0 | +2.0 | 0.526 | 1 | +34.8 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 59-31 | +2.1 | +2.0 | 0.369 | 2 | +30.5 |
| 6 | vs Indiana State | W 55-27 | −0.2 | −2.0 | 0.223 | 3 | +24.0 |
| 7 | at North Dakota State | L 17-45 | +30.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.489
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.604
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Thomas More CollegeDII · W 49-3
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 17-34