Youngstown State
MVFC · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 26% of the time
Power
#14
+12.9 pts · likely #8–32
Strength of schedule
47.2
#8 of 129
Strength of victory
30.9
#18
Record SOS
0.548
Opp. 56.8% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
34.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 24-15 | −6.0 | −2.0 | 0.124 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 2 | vs Robert Morris | W 56-17 | −8.3 | −2.0 | 0.095 | 4 | +24.5 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 31-28 | +1.9 | +2.0 | 0.366 | 2 | +7.5 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 30-35 | +16.9 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.197
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.312
- Wk 14: vs Yale · p 0.522
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Michigan StateFBS · L 24-41