South Dakota State
MVFC · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 22% of the time
Power
#8
+16.0 pts · likely #5–21
Strength of schedule
44.7
#17 of 129
Strength of victory
41.1
#4
Record SOS
0.571
Opp. 58.4% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
61.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +12.1 | −2.0 | 0.532 | 1 | +26.0 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +28.3 | +2.0 | 0.926 | 1 | +31.7 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | +1.1 | −2.0 | 0.251 | 2 | +15.3 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | −3.8 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.497
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.800
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.417
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.759