Indiana State
MVFC · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#74
−2.1 pts · likely #52–95
Strength of schedule
62.2
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
49.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.658
Opp. 71.6% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
36.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-5
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Eastern Illinois | W 38-14 | −3.0 | −2.0 | 0.170 | 3 | +17.5 |
| 4 | at Montana | L 20-63 | +15.8 | +2.0 | 0.725 | 1 | −16.4 |
| 6 | at Southern Illinois | L 27-55 | +11.4 | +2.0 | 0.617 | 1 | −14.9 |
| 7 | vs South Dakota | L 14-19 | +11.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.657
- Wk 13: vs Murray State · p 0.069
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs McKendreeDII · W 41-24
- Wk 3: at IndianaFBS · L 0-73