North Dakota
MVFC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 40% of the time
Power
#8
+13.7 pts · likely #5–32
Strength of schedule
40.0
#28 of 129
Strength of victory
27.9
#25
Record SOS
0.559
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 58.9%
Remaining SOS
61.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +14.7 | −2.1 | 0.598 | 1 | +15.3 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | +2.1 | −2.1 | 0.271 | 2 | +22.5 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −8.6 | −2.1 | 0.091 | 4 | +7.0 |
| 5 | vs Murray State | W 72-35 | −5.0 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.220
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.930
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.801
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.521
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21