Murray State
MVFC · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#112
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#95
−7.1 pts · likely #72–114
Strength of schedule
45.0
#15 of 129
Strength of victory
1.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.548
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 50.9%
Remaining SOS
65.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | −0.8 | −2.1 | 0.210 | 3 | −5.2 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −23.2 | −2.1 | 0.010 | 4 | +8.4 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 35-72 | +12.6 | +2.1 | 0.651 | 1 | −19.2 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota | L 0-59 | +22.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.960
- Wk 11: vs Missouri State · p 0.634
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51