North Dakota State
MVFC · 8-0 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 0.1% of the time
Power
#2
+26.7 pts · likely #1–4
Strength of schedule
46.0
#13 of 129
Strength of victory
46.0
#2
Record SOS
0.654
Opp. 68.6% · Opp. opp. 58.9%
Remaining SOS
63.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tennessee State | W 52-3 | −1.3 | −2.1 | 0.200 | 3 | +31.4 |
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-35 | +7.2 | +2.1 | 0.509 | 1 | +13.2 |
| 4 | vs Towson | W 41-24 | +3.1 | −2.1 | 0.294 | 2 | +18.6 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 42-10 | +9.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.264
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.634
- Wk 13: at South Dakota · p 0.870
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.377
- Wk 16: vs Mercer · p 0.532
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.930
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.823
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31