Tennessee State
OVC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#71
−1.4 pts · likely #45–95
Strength of schedule
23.5
#98 of 129
Strength of victory
12.2
#75
Record SOS
0.434
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
44.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-21 | −25.7 | −2.1 | 0.006 | 4 | −6.6 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-52 | +26.6 | +2.1 | 0.909 | 1 | −6.2 |
| 3 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-28 | −15.9 | 0.0 | 0.046 | 4 | −2.5 |
| 4 | at Tennessee Tech | L 14-24 | −3.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs UT Martin · p 0.578
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.174
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.281
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.486
- Wk 14: at Montana · p 0.698