Eastern Illinois
OVC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−8.2 pts · likely #77–116
Strength of schedule
37.3
#35 of 129
Strength of victory
16.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.585
Opp. 65.2% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
18.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Indiana State | W 27-20 | −3.3 | −2.1 | 0.165 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 4 | at Illinois State | L 7-31 | +6.8 | +2.1 | 0.498 | 2 | −14.7 |
| 5 | vs Lindenwood | L 25-28 | −1.7 | −2.1 | 0.193 | 3 | −7.4 |
| 6 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 27-38 | +11.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.111
- Wk 11: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.281
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.083
- Wk 13: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.266
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IllinoisFBS · L 0-45
- Wk 3: at NorthwesternFBS · L 7-31