Indiana State
MVFC · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#86
−4.5 pts · likely #61–107
Strength of schedule
28.9
#71 of 129
Strength of victory
17.5
#62
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 38.1% · Opp. opp. 61.5%
Remaining SOS
55.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | L 20-27 | −9.3 | +2.1 | 0.136 | 3 | −13.1 |
| 3 | vs Dayton | W 24-13 | −6.1 | −2.1 | 0.122 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 5 | vs Houston Christian | L 24-27 | −8.3 | −2.1 | 0.095 | 4 | −12.8 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 14-21 | +8.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.585
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.870
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.410
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.363
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 0-49