Dayton
Pioneer · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#96
−7.2 pts · likely #72–116
Strength of schedule
12.7
#127 of 129
Strength of victory
13.1
#71
Record SOS
0.405
Opp. 38.1% · Opp. opp. 45.4%
Remaining SOS
8.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 18-10 | −11.1 | −2.1 | 0.066 | 4 | −5.7 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 13-24 | −5.3 | +2.1 | 0.203 | 3 | −13.4 |
| 5 | at Marist | W 47-14 | −24.3 | +2.1 | 0.017 | 4 | +9.6 |
| 7 | vs Davidson | W 16-14 | −9.2 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.081
- Wk 11: vs San Diego · p 0.103
- Wk 12: vs Valparaiso · p 0.011
- Wk 13: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.151
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: vs Ave MariaNon-NCAA · W 49-7