Saint Francis
NEC · 1-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#115
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−11.6 pts · likely #91–122
Strength of schedule
20.2
#109 of 129
Strength of victory
5.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.497
Opp. 56.1% · Opp. opp. 36.9%
Remaining SOS
11.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Dayton | L 10-18 | −7.4 | +2.1 | 0.166 | 3 | −13.1 |
| 3 | vs Central Connecticut State | L 20-27 | +0.6 | −2.1 | 0.239 | 3 | −9.9 |
| 6 | at Delaware State | W 28-17 | −16.8 | +2.1 | 0.054 | 4 | −5.1 |
| 7 | vs Duquesne | L 7-38 | +5.7 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Stonehill · p 0.038
- Wk 12: at Long Island · p 0.221
- Wk 13: at Mercyhurst · p 0.082
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Kent StateFBS · W 23-17
- Wk 4: at Eastern MichiganFBS · L 0-36