Wagner
NEC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#93
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#108
−8.9 pts · likely #79–118
Strength of schedule
16.7
#121 of 129
Strength of victory
7.7
#82
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 42.2% · Opp. opp. 48.5%
Remaining SOS
33.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 13-49 | −2.9 | +2.1 | 0.253 | 2 | −33.0 |
| 3 | at Delaware State | W 30-7 | −15.5 | +2.1 | 0.064 | 4 | +6.9 |
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | L 14-21 | −1.4 | −2.1 | 0.198 | 3 | −10.8 |
| 6 | at Stonehill | W 28-7 | −12.8 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.324
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.543
- Wk 13: vs Long Island · p 0.147
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 46-7
- Wk 5: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 10-41
- Wk 9: at MassachusettsFBS · L 7-35