Robert Morris
NEC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#72
−1.7 pts · likely #49–97
Strength of schedule
14.4
#125 of 129
Strength of victory
9.5
#79
Record SOS
0.382
Opp. 30.9% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
30.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Robert Morris. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | W 55-28 | −11.3 | −2.1 | 0.064 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 4 | at Wagner | W 21-14 | −8.6 | +2.1 | 0.147 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-31 | +2.8 | +2.1 | 0.390 | 2 | −17.3 |
| 7 | vs Delaware State | W 23-0 | −17.1 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Merrimack · p 0.315
- Wk 11: at Duquesne · p 0.543
- Wk 12: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.324
- Wk 13: vs Stonehill · p 0.038
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Utah StateFBS · L 14-36
- Wk 2: vs EdinboroDII · L 21-23