Mercyhurst
NEC · 0-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#123
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#119
−13.5 pts · likely #97–124
Strength of schedule
34.3
#45 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 32.5%
Remaining SOS
30.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Howard | L 31-32 | −6.9 | +2.1 | 0.175 | 3 | −6.1 |
| 3 | at Robert Morris | L 28-55 | −3.2 | +2.1 | 0.246 | 3 | −26.6 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 13-52 | +23.1 | +2.1 | 0.864 | 1 | −9.8 |
| 7 | at Central Connecticut State | L 20-38 | −0.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Duquesne · p 0.543
- Wk 13: vs Saint Francis · p 0.064
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WheelingDII · W 28-25
- Wk 5: vs Frostburg StateDII · L 24-25
- Wk 6: vs Buffalo StateDIII · W 55-0