Central Connecticut State
NEC · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#76
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#66
−0.8 pts · likely #43–94
Strength of schedule
26.0
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
9.2
#81
Record SOS
0.411
Opp. 32.4% · Opp. opp. 58.5%
Remaining SOS
27.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Connecticut State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Fordham | W 33-3 | −5.9 | −2.1 | 0.124 | 3 | +20.3 |
| 3 | at Saint Francis | W 27-20 | −11.8 | +2.1 | 0.102 | 3 | −2.5 |
| 6 | at Yale | L 22-23 | +7.7 | +2.1 | 0.520 | 1 | +8.0 |
| 7 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-20 | −13.2 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Wagner · p 0.089
- Wk 11: at Stonehill · p 0.067
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.203
- Wk 13: vs Duquesne · p 0.431
- Wk 14: at Rhode Island · p 0.569
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-66
- Wk 4: at MassachusettsFBS · L 31-35