Yale
Ivy · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#34
+6.9 pts · likely #14–58
Strength of schedule
34.4
#43 of 129
Strength of victory
37.3
#6
Record SOS
0.559
Opp. 59.5% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
35.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Holy Cross | W 38-31 | +10.6 | +2.1 | 0.600 | 1 | +18.7 |
| 5 | at Cornell | L 23-47 | −8.0 | +2.1 | 0.156 | 3 | −24.6 |
| 6 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 23-22 | −0.9 | −2.1 | 0.208 | 3 | −1.9 |
| 7 | vs Dartmouth | L 43-44 OT | +7.8 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Columbia · p 0.451
- Wk 11: vs Brown · p 0.195
- Wk 12: vs Princeton · p 0.164
- Wk 13: at Harvard · p 0.610