Montana State
Big Sky · 7-0 vs FCS · 8-0 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#3
+23.1 pts · likely #2–7
Strength of schedule
24.4
#94 of 129
Strength of victory
24.4
#41
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 33.2% · Opp. opp. 62.8%
Remaining SOS
59.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −12.9 | +2.1 | 0.089 | 4 | +14.8 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | +3.3 | −2.1 | 0.299 | 2 | +19.1 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −14.2 | −2.1 | 0.043 | 4 | +19.4 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | +0.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.461
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.408
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.590
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.594
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.578
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.468
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.891
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.801
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31