Portland State
Big Sky · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#67
−0.8 pts · likely #44–97
Strength of schedule
54.8
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
36.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.618
Opp. 72.7% · Opp. opp. 40.2%
Remaining SOS
44.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Weber State | L 16-43 | +3.9 | +2.1 | 0.418 | 2 | −19.4 |
| 5 | at Chattanooga | L 30-45 | +13.8 | +2.1 | 0.679 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 6 | vs UC Davis | L 26-27 | +11.5 | −2.1 | 0.511 | 1 | +7.4 |
| 7 | at Idaho State | W 42-38 | +2.0 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Sacramento State · p 0.519
- Wk 11: vs Idaho · p 0.468
- Wk 12: at Montana · p 0.698
- Wk 13: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.084
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Washington StateFBS · L 30-70
- Wk 4: at Boise StateFBS · L 14-56