UC Davis
Big Sky · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 6.2% of the time
Power
#17
+10.6 pts · likely #9–43
Strength of schedule
29.8
#67 of 129
Strength of victory
29.8
#20
Record SOS
0.438
Opp. 34.8% · Opp. opp. 61.9%
Remaining SOS
56.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −11.4 | −2.1 | 0.063 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +10.2 | +2.1 | 0.589 | 1 | +15.1 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −12.6 | −2.1 | 0.054 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +9.8 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.084
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.698
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.784
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.519
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.410
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.870
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31