Weber State
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#42
+5.5 pts · likely #21–64
Strength of schedule
29.9
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
34.4
#10
Record SOS
0.428
Opp. 37.2% · Opp. opp. 54.0%
Remaining SOS
36.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 43-16 | +1.7 | −2.1 | 0.264 | 2 | +24.0 |
| 3 | at Lamar | L 16-17 | −1.9 | +2.1 | 0.274 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 4 | at Northwestern State | W 39-0 | −19.9 | +2.1 | 0.034 | 4 | +15.8 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | L 26-28 | −0.8 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.505
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.244
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.579
- Wk 13: vs Cal Poly · p 0.128
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WashingtonFBS · L 3-35