Sacramento State
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#36
+6.6 pts · likely #16–62
Strength of schedule
31.6
#56 of 129
Strength of victory
27.8
#26
Record SOS
0.425
Opp. 39.4% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
43.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 34-7 | +3.4 | −2.1 | 0.302 | 2 | +25.5 |
| 4 | at East Texas A&M | W 34-0 | −7.7 | +2.1 | 0.160 | 3 | +25.8 |
| 5 | at Northern Arizona | L 16-34 | +4.6 | +2.1 | 0.437 | 2 | −9.3 |
| 7 | vs Eastern Washington | L 28-35 | +3.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.199
- Wk 11: at Montana State · p 0.857
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.196
- Wk 13: vs UC Davis · p 0.479
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 24-42
- Wk 2: at Fresno StateFBS · L 30-46