Nicholls State
Southland · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#62
+0.6 pts · likely #38–88
Strength of schedule
25.5
#90 of 129
Strength of victory
11.8
#76
Record SOS
0.414
Opp. 36.4% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
32.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 7-34 | +4.8 | +2.1 | 0.443 | 2 | −18.3 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 66-0 | −24.1 | −2.1 | 0.008 | 4 | +8.4 |
| 6 | at Southern | W 51-7 | −5.0 | +2.1 | 0.209 | 3 | +28.9 |
| 7 | at Incarnate Word | L 10-55 | +11.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.465
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.175
- Wk 12: at Lamar · p 0.294
- Wk 13: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.376
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-25
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 21-44