Idaho State
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#61
+0.7 pts · likely #38–87
Strength of schedule
47.2
#10 of 129
Strength of victory
38.7
#5
Record SOS
0.510
Opp. 50.2% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
47.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota | L 28-52 | +13.0 | +2.1 | 0.661 | 1 | −8.2 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 38-28 | +12.2 | −2.1 | 0.531 | 1 | +17.8 |
| 5 | vs Montana State | L 17-37 | +22.6 | −2.1 | 0.784 | 1 | +1.0 |
| 6 | at Cal Poly | W 41-38 | −5.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Weber State · p 0.482
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.461
- Wk 13: vs Idaho · p 0.468
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oregon StateFBS · L 15-38
- Wk 2: vs Western OregonDII · W 50-10