Montana
Big Sky · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#6
+14.4 pts · likely #5–27
Strength of schedule
38.6
#30 of 129
Strength of victory
34.6
#8
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 54.6% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
48.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +16.7 | −2.1 | 0.650 | 1 | +18.8 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +14.0 | +2.1 | 0.686 | 1 | +12.8 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −13.1 | −2.1 | 0.051 | 4 | +20.0 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +6.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.196
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.479
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.199
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.857
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.191
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.960