Houston Christian
Southland · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#101
−7.7 pts · likely #72–116
Strength of schedule
37.8
#34 of 129
Strength of victory
27.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.590
Opp. 63.4% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
26.3
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Houston Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tarleton State | L 18-35 | +11.8 | −2.1 | 0.520 | 1 | −7.1 |
| 5 | at Indiana State | W 27-24 | −3.4 | +2.1 | 0.241 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 6 | vs McNeese | W 43-22 | +3.5 | −2.1 | 0.304 | 2 | +17.9 |
| 7 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 7-37 | +3.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Incarnate Word · p 0.675
- Wk 11: vs Nicholls State · p 0.239
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.122
- Wk 13: vs Northwestern State · p 0.014
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SMUFBS · L 7-59
- Wk 3: vs Louisiana Christian UniversityNon-NCAA · W 70-7
- Wk 4: at UTSAFBS · L 7-45