Tarleton State
UAC · 7-0 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 5.9% of the time
Power
#12
+12.1 pts · likely #7–37
Strength of schedule
31.3
#59 of 129
Strength of victory
31.3
#18
Record SOS
0.513
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 60.5%
Remaining SOS
43.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 26-23 | −0.9 | −2.1 | 0.209 | 3 | −0.1 |
| 2 | at Houston Christian | W 35-18 | −6.8 | +2.1 | 0.176 | 3 | +11.4 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 28-14 | +4.7 | +2.1 | 0.441 | 2 | +20.3 |
| 5 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 36-33 | +5.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.348
- Wk 11: at West Georgia · p 0.265
- Wk 12: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.377
- Wk 13: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.532
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.196
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.870
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45