Northern Iowa
MVFC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#55
+1.9 pts · likely #32–81
Strength of schedule
54.3
#3 of 129
Strength of victory
8.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.623
Opp. 68.3% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
49.8
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Valparaiso | W 35-7 | −22.5 | −2.1 | 0.011 | 4 | +4.0 |
| 2 | at St. Thomas (MN) | W 17-10 | −8.5 | +2.1 | 0.148 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 3-41 | +31.8 | −2.1 | 0.921 | 1 | −5.1 |
| 7 | at South Dakota | L 17-42 | +23.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.915
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.410
- Wk 12: at Youngstown State · p 0.520
- Wk 13: vs Indiana State · p 0.146
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 3-34
- Wk 4: at Hawai'iFBS · L 7-36