Valparaiso
Pioneer · 1-5 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#126
−21.9 pts · likely #119–128
Strength of schedule
20.3
#107 of 129
Strength of victory
1.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.423
Opp. 38.1% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
15.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 7-35 | +1.5 | +2.1 | 0.358 | 2 | −24.0 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 25-59 | +7.5 | +2.1 | 0.515 | 1 | −24.2 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | L 5-17 | −14.0 | +2.1 | 0.078 | 4 | −22.8 |
| 6 | vs Drake | L 3-27 | −2.3 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.204
- Wk 12: at Dayton · p 0.171
- Wk 13: vs Davidson · p 0.088
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17
- Wk 4: vs RooseveltDII · W 31-23