Drake
Pioneer · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#75
−1.8 pts · likely #49–99
Strength of schedule
29.7
#69 of 129
Strength of victory
18.6
#61
Record SOS
0.483
Opp. 47.5% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
16.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Eastern Washington | W 35-32 OT | +7.1 | +2.1 | 0.506 | 1 | +9.9 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | L 3-42 | +22.2 | +2.1 | 0.851 | 1 | −10.2 |
| 5 | vs San Diego | W 30-28 | −8.5 | −2.1 | 0.092 | 4 | −8.0 |
| 6 | at Valparaiso | W 27-3 | −21.9 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Marist · p 0.006
- Wk 11: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.151
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.046
- Wk 13: at Stetson · p 0.012
- Wk 14: at Tarleton State · p 0.631