Montana
Big Sky · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 36% of the time
Power
#11
+13.8 pts · likely #6–32
Strength of schedule
41.9
#23 of 129
Strength of victory
39.1
#5
Record SOS
0.587
Opp. 62.9% · Opp. opp. 50.5%
Remaining SOS
41.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +17.0 | −1.7 | 0.668 | 1 | +19.6 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +13.0 | +1.7 | 0.651 | 1 | +11.5 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −15.2 | −1.7 | 0.040 | 4 | +17.8 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Northern Colorado · p 0.119
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.142
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.463
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.219
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.821
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.180
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.974