Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 82% of the time
Power
#33
+7.4 pts · likely #15–61
Strength of schedule
51.2
#2 of 129
Strength of victory
33.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 48.7% · Opp. opp. 59.7%
Remaining SOS
28.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −12.9 | +1.7 | 0.085 | 4 | +15.6 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +12.3 | +1.7 | 0.632 | 1 | −7.3 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +13.9 | −1.7 | 0.589 | 1 | +25.4 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +10.7 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Idaho State · p 0.205
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.375
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.142
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.119
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.425
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.430
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22