Incarnate Word
Southland · 4-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#7
+15.0 pts · likely #5–28
Strength of schedule
38.2
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
24.7
#32
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 49.4% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
41.1
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −10.9 | −1.7 | 0.072 | 4 | +9.4 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +36.4 | +1.7 | 0.976 | 1 | +16.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +0.7 | +1.7 | 0.327 | 2 | −2.5 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.243
- Wk 9: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.499
- Wk 10: vs Houston Christian · p 0.163
- Wk 11: vs Lamar · p 0.162
- Wk 12: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.493
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.142
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.611
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.974