Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−10.0 pts · likely #82–119
Strength of schedule
48.8
#11 of 129
Strength of victory
55.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.520
Opp. 57.8% · Opp. opp. 40.3%
Remaining SOS
45.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Incarnate Word | L 7-28 | +15.6 | +1.7 | 0.714 | 1 | −4.3 |
| 3 | vs Abilene Christian | L 22-24 | +6.5 | −1.7 | 0.391 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 7-48 | +3.5 | +1.7 | 0.398 | 2 | −26.7 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 7-28 | −13.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Montana · p 0.592
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.552
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.425
- Wk 12: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.422
- Wk 13: at Portland State · p 0.291
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-38